CS2Stake Pulse · Group C · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Astralis

HOTU1-2Astralis

Stake Pulse · Group C· Oct 14, 2026 · 13:00–15:38 UTC· 2h 38m· VOD on kick
Volume
$580.0K
Trades
4,381
Significant
51 ≥ $2,213
Low · high
0.1¢ → 81¢
Price path · full matchYES = HOTU · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · HOTUG1G2 · AstralisG2G3 · AstralisG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:34$12.4K YES · lllllllIlllSMART88%92% Astralis13:0015:38 resolved
smart consensus leaned AST from 13:02 at 59¢ · 88% → 92%
G1HOTU47¢ → 71¢$20.8K
G2Astralis71¢ → 48¢$69.9K
G3Astralis48¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first2
WALL EATEN43¢ · $23.9K ask wall gone instantly$17.0K eaten · $7.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Wiretransferxyz· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· CORGI8 $17.0K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN43¢ · $14.0K ask wall gone instantly$7.8K eaten · $6.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Gooooooollllllllll· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· lllllllIlll $7.8K· 1 fill
Who entered before the reversalAstralis last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 73:43 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L11 wallets
1iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$2.8K
$8.7K at 60¢· G1 · 19:37· win rate 58.9%
2ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$329
$783 at 58¢· G1 · 16:28· win rate 47.3%
3Joyous-Jicama0x2c35…2f16retail+$255
$109 at 30¢· G1 · 16:28· win rate 40.4%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail+$133
$962 at 57¢· G1 · 06:59· win rate 50.6%
5Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail+$123
$185 at 47¢· G1 · 19:37· win rate 46.4%
6Zabivox0xda54…3b74smart+$80
$656 at 63¢· G1 · 15:13· win rate 59.4%
$1.2K at 58¢· G1 · 06:47· win rate 17.1%
8Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$29
$250 at 61¢· G2 · 00:51· win rate 52.9%
9BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$4
$2.3K at 50¢· G1 · 15:13· win rate 63.9%
10Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$2
$270 at 60¢· G1 · 06:47· win rate 53.1%
Reversal = last time Astralis traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 73:43). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 192 wallets
Top winners
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail+$8.6K
jizzbucket570xc49f…9e05retail+$5.0K
monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail+$4.3K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$2.8K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$2.2K
Top losers
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail−$7.0K
fastbet0x27e4…4803retail−$1.8K
wignfan0xa16b…b541smart−$650
0xf84d…8830retail−$648
buen00x7069…325bretail−$615
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): lllllllIlll, aaaa298, ameisgoat11, RN1 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution86 wallets
92%NO Astralis · the winner· from 88% at match start
YES capital
$175.4K
NO capital
$212.0K
Hedged
$36.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 51 TRADES ≥ $2,213 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$19.9K
YES43¢series12:44:13whale
win rate 40.6%lifetime +$60.6K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$12.4K
YES43¢series12:54:59whale
win rate 55.7%lifetime +$52.8K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$2.6K
NO72¢map 214:42:14smart
win rate 63.6%lifetime +$943.6K
iii2520xed44…4f76$2.4K
NO57¢series12:27:06smart
win rate 58.9%lifetime +$274.7K
Rayaya0x9b96…4389$2.3K
sell NO57¢series12:36:43retail
win rate 60.9%lifetime −$60.4K
BadNewsBears0x182d…73e9$2.1K
NO54¢map 213:47:59retail
win rate 43.8%lifetime +$20.3K
JohnnyWins0xda34…01a8$1.9K
YES43¢series12:27:06retail
win rate 39.7%lifetime +$50.1K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.7K
YES46¢map 213:47:59smart
win rate 57.5%lifetime +$424.0K
More from this tournamentStake Pulse Beat III 2026 →
Match markets27 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C0¢ / 100¢$436.4Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$32.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$109.2Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$73closedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)19¢ / 82¢$0closedseries handicapMap Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$33closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$10closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$129closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.514¢ / 86¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.549¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.510¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$204closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.515¢ / 85¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$61closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)56¢ / 44¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-9.5) vs Astralis (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs HOTU (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs HOTU (+9.5)— / —$0closed
HOTU 1-2 Astralis · Stake Pulse · match recap | OrcaLayer