CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Yawara Esports

Grêmio Esports0-2Yawara Esports

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Oct 8, 2026 · 21:00–23:51 UTC· 2h 51m· VOD on kick
Volume
$68.2K
Trades
2,313
Significant
15 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 52¢
Price path · full matchYES = Grêmio Esports · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · Yawara EsportsG1G2 · Yawara EsportsG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 23:42$1.4K NO · viniplay$1.3K YES · Prickly-Effort$779 YES · mujemuje$533 NO · JohnLKellyJrSMART87%92% Yawara Esports21:0023:51 resolved
smart consensus leaned YAW from 21:02 at 61¢ · 87% → 92%
G1Yawara Esports34¢ → 20¢$5.2K
G2Yawara Esports20¢ → 0.1¢$10.7K
Who entered before the reversalYawara Esports last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 67:04 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L1 wallets
$395 at 69¢· G1 · 67:04· win rate 14.2%
Reversal = last time Yawara Esports traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 67:04). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 107 wallets
Top winners
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.5K
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$209
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$118
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882whale+$104
Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$83
Top losers
xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$550
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale−$353
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$186
sportmaster7770x32ed…f960smart−$171
ckif4a110x72e7…2b72retail−$117
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): JohnLKellyJr, ameisgoat11, mujemuje, viniplay +4
Smart consensus · at resolution47 wallets
92%NO Yawara Esports · the winner· from 87% at match start
YES capital
$12.3K
NO capital
$28.6K
Hedged
$12.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 15 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.6K
NO64¢series20:32:24smart
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$340.9K
viniplay0x93da…ac64$1.4K
NO76¢series21:24:42retail
win rate 53.3%lifetime +$238
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$1.3K
YES54¢series21:22:00whale
win rate 54.1%lifetime −$36.2K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$971
NO66¢series20:42:31smart
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$340.9K
mujemuje0xc192…086c$779
YES48¢series21:20:48retail
win rate 35.1%lifetime −$50.8K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$698
NO65¢series20:32:45smart
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$340.9K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$634
NO60¢map 121:24:21smart
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$340.9K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$627
NO66¢series20:37:44smart
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$340.9K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Grêmio Esports 0-2 Yawara Esports · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer