CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Keyd

Grêmio Esports0-2Keyd

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 22, 2026 · 21:15–23:10 UTC· 1h 55m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$38.0K
Trades
1,406
Significant
2 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 35¢
Price path · full matchYES = Grêmio Esports · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · KeydG1G2 · KeydG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 22:17$2.0K NO · Petty-RoofSMART96%97% Keyd21:1523:10 resolved
smart consensus leaned KEYD from 21:01 at 81¢ · 96% → 97%
G1Keyd23¢ → 9¢$6.6K
G2Keyd9¢ → 0.1¢$6.0K
Biggest buyers of the winnerKeyd never traded below 65¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner1 wallets
1300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$32
$145 at 82¢· pre-match · 1h 1m before· win rate 57.1%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 74 wallets
Top winners
300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$32
Elderly-Soprano0x0a7c…8964retail+$18
Musty-Acquisition0xb8b9…7a6bretail+$9
KaozrD0x8213…711csmart+$8
RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart+$4
Top losers
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale−$223
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$137
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$122
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$63
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$54
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, xreborn, Petty-Roof, purplegatto +4
Smart consensus · at resolution26 wallets
97%NO Keyd · the winner· from 96% at match start
YES capital
$1.5K
NO capital
$7.5K
Hedged
$3.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 2 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Petty-Roof0x9679…9315$2.0K
NO89¢series21:57:06retail
win rate 56.5%lifetime −$36.3K
Match markets15 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Grêmio Esports 0-2 Keyd · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer