CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FOKUS

FOKUS2-1Alliance

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Nov 9, 2026 · 14:00–17:05 UTC· 3h 05m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$426.9K
Trades
5,523
Significant
39 ≥ $968
Low · high
3¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FOKUS · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · AllianceG1G2 · FOKUSG2G3 · FOKUSG33¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:45$3.6K YES · lllllllIlll$2.8K NO · Excession6$2.1K YES · leonfish$2.0K NO · Kangta9393$1.8K YES · danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6SMART66%65% FOKUS14:0017:05 resolved
smart consensus leaned FOKUS from G3 at 75¢ · 66% → 65%
G1Alliance52¢ → 27¢$16.7K
G2FOKUS27¢ → 51¢$38.5K
G3FOKUS51¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN54¢ · $21.8K ask wall gone instantly$11.5K eaten · $9.0K pulled · $1.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Wiretransferxyz+10 more on the same level· 80% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· FeedTheBigBird $11.5K· 11 fills
Who entered before the reversalFOKUS last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 53:46 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L43 wallets
1danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159retail+$2.3K
$1.9K at 40¢· G2 · 27:25· win rate 46.6%
2pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart+$1.6K
$20.9K at 63¢· G1 · 34:34· win rate 58.1%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail+$1.5K
$7.8K at 60¢· G1 · 11:39· win rate 51.5%
4calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$1.4K
$1.4K at 40¢· G1 · 11:18· win rate 54.7%
5mntsdxs0x3705…9677retail+$972
$1.2K at 35¢· G2 · 28:53· win rate 31.2%
6MathIsntReal0x2805…76edretail+$932
$264 at 22¢· G2 · 46:14· win rate 46.2%
7Petty-Roof0x9679…9315retail+$671
$736 at 52¢· G2 · 00:31· win rate 51.4%
8Docmed0x0054…59ffretail+$526
$177 at 25¢· G2 · 06:04· win rate 58.8%
9lopesmath0x0ad0…0ea9retail+$494
$315 at 39¢· G2 · 09:01· win rate 47.6%
10crabfavor0x0636…d49aretail+$484
$384 at 41¢· G1 · 39:01· win rate 53.7%
Reversal = last time FOKUS traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 53:46). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 729 wallets
Top winners
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1retail+$11.5K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$10.6K
Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0smart+$4.9K
manofmyheart0x6505…41b2retail+$2.8K
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159retail+$2.3K
Top losers
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail−$16.1K
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2retail−$6.4K
Kangta93930xda5f…2e9bretail−$2.9K
Excession60xaf1a…ba1esmart−$2.8K
Babooou0xbdd2…6657retail−$2.3K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4, NotJump, Ornery-Stinger
Smart consensus · at resolution72 wallets
65%YES FOKUS · the winner· from 66% at match start
YES capital
$128.5K
NO capital
$110.4K
Hedged
$28.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 39 TRADES ≥ $968 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1$13.5K
YES54¢series13:41:38retail
win rate 49.1%lifetime −$110.3K
Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0$5.7K
YES54¢series13:36:44smart
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$557.0K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$3.6K
YES54¢series13:59:43whale
win rate 54.1%lifetime −$262.6K
W0wzers0x6831…c638$2.8K
NO59¢map 214:52:50retail
win rate 42.4%lifetime −$8.3K
Excession60xaf1a…ba1e$2.8K
NO46¢series13:59:43smart
win rate 56.6%lifetime +$76.5K
leonfish0x001a…4895$2.1K
sell YES72¢series16:45:16retail
win rate 51.9%lifetime +$5.4K
leonfish0x001a…4895$2.0K
YES92¢series17:00:50retail
win rate 51.9%lifetime +$5.4K
Kangta93930xda5f…2e9b$2.0K
NO78¢series14:52:24retail
win rate 55.5%lifetime −$88.9K
Match markets28 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$323.3Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$37.3Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$70.2Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$979closedseries handicapMap Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$22closedseries handicapMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$404closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$63closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$109closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$11closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.551¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.527¢ / 73¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$11closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.549¢ / 52¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$1.6Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.514¢ / 86¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)54¢ / 46¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)35¢ / 65¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)22¢ / 78¢$0closed
FOKUS 2-1 Alliance · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer