CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · fnatic

fnatic2-0BIG

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 28, 2026 · 17:15–18:57 UTC· 1h 42m· VOD on kick
Volume
$736.3K
Trades
3,114
Significant
46 ≥ $3,345
Low · high
42¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = fnatic · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · fnaticG1G2 · fnaticG242¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 18:57SMART15%30% fnatic17:1518:57 resolved
smart consensus 15% → 30% YES
G1fnatic43¢ → 67¢$23.0K
G2fnatic67¢ → 99.9¢$178.8K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first7
WALL EATEN43¢ · $20.6K ask wall gone in 7s$13.5K eaten · $2.6K pulled · $4.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:zb8smart+3 more on the same level· 70% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· RN1 $11.8K· 0xe88f…6566 $847· aaaa298 $525· +7 more· 20 fills
WALL EATEN44¢ · $17.7K ask wall gone in 51s$9.6K eaten · $3.8K pulled · $4.4K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Nooseracwhale+1 more on the same level· 65% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Grand-Access $9.2K· antec $224· +6 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $13.2K bid wall gone instantly$11.4K eaten · $1.8K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· lllllllIlll $11.4K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN44¢ · $12.9K bid wall gone instantly$9.8K eaten · $1.6K pulled · $1.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· para-Vision $9.8K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN50¢ · $11.2K ask wall gone in 15s$11.0K eatenmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $8.7K· Moneyland $2.3K· +2 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN45¢ · $10.1K ask wall gone in 4s$6.1K eaten · $4.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:coolz122+2 more on the same level· 73% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· sssasp $3.0K· RN1 $2.6K· aaaa298 $502· +3 more· 10 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst fnatic buy ≥ $1K · by time7 wallets
1StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dcsmart+$2.3K
$1.7K at 44¢· pre-match · 18h 34m before· win rate 68.8%
2ShadowRealms0x9e07…6e49retail+$5.5K
$4.5K at 45¢· pre-match · 12h 16m before· win rate 54.0%
3Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$243
$1.1K at 65¢· G1 · 01:49· win rate 59.2%
4pnhct0x9f63…9551smart−$39
$4.4K at 58¢· G1 · 02:49· win rate 56.5%
5iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$3.0K
$3.8K at 56¢· G1 · 03:39· win rate 59.1%
6TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2smart+$66
$1.8K at 57¢· G1 · 13:15· win rate 66.9%
7zvon30x2eaa…7d1awhalefarmer+$26
$25.9K at 99.9¢· G2 · 68:50· win rate 99.9%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 160 wallets
Top winners
ShadowRealms0x9e07…6e49retail+$5.5K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$3.0K
StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dcsmart+$2.3K
Cold-Palms0x689f…259cretail+$672
vrcat0xe922…39b3retail+$570
Top losers
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00retail−$22.4K
zb80x0224…292asmartwhale−$13.1K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale−$8.4K
nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail−$6.8K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$5.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): ameisgoat11, RN1, Lakersfan111, lllllllIlll +4
Smart consensus · at resolution64 wallets
30%YES fnatic · the winner· from 15% at match start
YES capital
$181.7K
NO capital
$196.8K
Hedged
$56.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 46 TRADES ≥ $3,345 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$30.3K
sell NO57¢series16:44:50whale
win rate 40.6%lifetime +$263.9K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$16.3K
NO57¢series16:32:33whale
win rate 54.4%lifetime −$217.3K
para-Vision0x676c…e139$12.6K
NO56¢series15:53:35smart
win rate 56.0%lifetime +$803.3K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$11.6K
sell NO55¢map 217:51:02whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$5.55M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$10.0K
YES50¢map 218:00:50whale
win rate 41.1%lifetime +$321.7K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$9.0K
YES54¢map 218:00:17whale
win rate 41.1%lifetime +$321.7K
Swift-Census0xbadb…31a7$3.0K
YES61¢map 218:42:51retail
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$70.3K
Swift-Census0xbadb…31a7$2.9K
YES58¢map 218:42:18retail
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$70.3K
Match markets26 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$405.3Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$43.3Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$282.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$1.4Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$168closedseries handicapMap Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.9Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.585¢ / 15¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$80closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$432closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$4closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.543¢ / 57¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$17closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$63closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-12.5) vs fnatic (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$18closed