CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Marsborne

FlyQuest RED0-2Marsborne

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 23, 2026 · 01:15–02:51 UTC· 1h 36m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$24.6K
Trades
360
Significant
2 ≥ $886
Low · high
0.1¢ → 6¢
Price path · full matchYES = FlyQuest RED · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢G1 · MarsborneG1G2 · MarsborneG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 01:10SMART100%100% Marsborne01:1502:51 resolved
smart consensus leaned MARS from 01:05 at 98¢ · 100% → 100%
G1Marsborne3¢ → 4¢$1.5K
G2Marsborne4¢ → 0.1¢$809
Biggest buyers of the winnerMarsborne never traded below 91¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner3 wallets
1Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$21
$333 at 94¢· pre-match · 37m before· win rate 59.6%
2MarlaSinger19990x9696…2bc3smart+$9
$141 at 94¢· G1 · 02:41· win rate 58.2%
3Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$7
$128 at 94¢· G1 · 02:41· win rate 62.7%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 6 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.9K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 44 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217retail+$40
Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$21
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$11
MarlaSinger19990x9696…2bc3smart+$9
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$8
Top losers
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$41
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$9
Honored-Elver0xe010…5147retail−$3
PT-S50xb6cc…3d52retail−$1
scottcs20x234e…1160retail−$1
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Rash-Barometer, Gaditima, nigiri99, 37231836 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution23 wallets
100%NO Marsborne · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$844
NO capital
$18.2K
Hedged
$14.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 2 TRADES ≥ $886 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$613
NO94¢map 200:00:33smart
win rate 56.9%lifetime +$1.60M
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$553
NO94¢map 100:00:36smart
win rate 56.9%lifetime +$1.60M
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
FlyQuest RED 0-2 Marsborne · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer