CS2Tesla Cup · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · HOTU

B80-2HOTU

Tesla Cup · Playoffs· Oct 29, 2026 · 09:00–10:52 UTC· 1h 52m· VOD on kick
Volume
$447.6K
Trades
3,908
Significant
49 ≥ $1,612
Low · high
0.1¢ → 58¢
Price path · full matchYES = B8 · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · HOTUG1G2 · HOTUG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:50$5.2K YES · JohnLKellyJrSMART15%25% HOTU09:0010:52 resolved
smart consensus 85% → 75% YES
G1HOTU58¢ → 30¢$39.0K
G2HOTU30¢ → 1¢$78.8K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN59¢ · $10.0K ask wall gone instantly$6.7K eaten · $3.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:vibing123+1 more on the same level· 76% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Mooseborzoiii $6.7K· 2 fills
Who entered before the reversalHOTU last traded ≤ 40¢ before kick-off · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L7 wallets
1hammyandcheese0x2a74…de59smart+$1.2K
$800 at 40¢· pre-match · 5h 6m before· win rate 58.6%
2BaccaratRoulette0x59f4…c1f1retail+$1.0K
$698 at 40¢· pre-match · 4h 37m before· win rate 41.1%
3VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$398
$428 at 42¢· pre-match · 5h 6m before· win rate 58.3%
4lolzik0x23f8…cd2fsmart+$300
$200 at 40¢· pre-match · 4h 52m before· win rate 63.0%
5387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$164
$473 at 49¢· pre-match · 5h 6m before· win rate 51.4%
$766 at 63¢· pre-match · 4h 52m before· win rate 21.9%
7antec0x8935…7daaretail−$59
$1.6K at 66¢· pre-match · 4h 52m before· win rate 50.9%
Reversal = last time HOTU traded ≤ 40¢ (pre · 00:47). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 161 wallets
Top winners
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$7.4K
humbleboy0x4b59…3aa6smart+$5.2K
rookiaski0x1648…e4cfretail+$2.9K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$2.6K
BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$2.3K
Top losers
Crazyboy770xc95e…caf7retail−$560
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$375
carmenberzatto0x8726…0f36retail−$319
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$250
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$227
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Stiff-Desktop, JohnLKellyJr, suntori, SKIAFGSDGSD +4
Smart consensus · at resolution49 wallets
25%NO HOTU · the winner· from 15% at match start
YES capital
$103.1K
NO capital
$100.6K
Hedged
$52.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 49 TRADES ≥ $1,612 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CORGII0x79ae…9a4a$22.0K
sell YES58¢series08:43:57whale
win rate 40.6%lifetime +$332.7K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$5.2K
YES59¢series08:57:12smart
win rate 55.3%lifetime +$399.3K
Total-Temporary0x3eb3…4d75$2.7K
NO90¢map 109:29:47retail
win rate 67.4%lifetime −$111.8K
JoeMaserati0xcd8f…4dc1$2.1K
NO95¢map 109:26:57retail
win rate 94.3%lifetime −$28.6K
ctmdoto0xfe05…8b13$1.5K
YES56¢map 210:26:20retail
win rate 48.1%lifetime −$14.6K
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbf$1.4K
NO39¢map 210:29:48whale
win rate 42.6%lifetime −$308.7K
LFGGGGGGGGGGGGG0xf61a…5943$1.3K
NO91¢map 109:26:05retail
win rate 54.0%lifetime −$22.4K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.3K
YES47¢map 109:08:15smart
win rate 55.3%lifetime +$399.3K
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B8 0-2 HOTU · Tesla Cup · match recap | OrcaLayer