CS2DFRAG Invitational · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Alter Ego

Alter Ego2-0Abyssal

DFRAG Invitational · Playoffs· Oct 30, 2026 · 03:00–04:44 UTC· 1h 44m· VOD on kick
Volume
$34.3K
Trades
1,030
Significant
5 ≥ $500
Low · high
80¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Alter Ego · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
65¢70¢75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · Alter EgoG1G2 · Alter EgoG280¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 03:49$723 YES · Favorable-Pepper-BrushingSMART99%99% Alter Ego03:0004:44 resolved
smart consensus leaned Alter Ego from G1 at 86¢ · 99% → 99%
G1Alter Ego85¢ → 95¢$3.8K
G2Alter Ego95¢ → 99.9¢$5.2K
Biggest buyers of the winnerAlter Ego never traded below 76¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner11 wallets
1387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$39
$1.2K at 88¢· pre-match · 5h 30m before· win rate 51.5%
2antec0x8935…7daaretail+$131
$732 at 83¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 51.0%
$423 at 88¢· pre-match · 12h 31m before· win rate 22.1%
4xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$58
$405 at 87¢· pre-match · 12h 36m before· win rate 56.6%
5a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$0
$352 at 89¢· pre-match · 11h 44m before· win rate 39.1%
6Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$10
$167 at 87¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 62.6%
70x2e32…1b5dretail+$19
$163 at 90¢· pre-match · 10h 9m before· win rate 41.4%
8BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$30
$160 at 84¢· G1 · 00:44· win rate 55.9%
9Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$24
$136 at 85¢· G1 · 09:25· win rate 52.3%
10Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail−$4
$134 at 88¢· pre-match · 5h 30m before· win rate 46.8%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($232 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 93 wallets
Top winners
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$131
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$58
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$39
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$30
Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$24
Top losers
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$87
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4retail−$66
RizkyMuda0xe953…a4f9retail−$15
GOLDCRYPT120xf20b…e27dretail−$13
BulochkaLove0x3728…dfccretail−$5
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, Stiff-Desktop, heyheydu, 0xa142…caf6 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution18 wallets
99%YES Alter Ego · the winner· from 99% at match start
YES capital
$16.3K
NO capital
$2.0K
Hedged
$6.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 5 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882$723
YES94¢series04:13:43whale
win rate 42.4%lifetime −$4.24M
Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0$602
YES90¢series02:37:26smart
win rate 56.2%lifetime +$326.2K
Hidden-Dot0x70dc…1dfd$600
YES74¢map 204:25:56retail
win rate 56.0%lifetime −$247.3K
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Match markets17 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Alter Ego 2-0 Abyssal · DFRAG Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer