CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Alliance

Alliance2-0PRIVATE

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Nov 8, 2026 · 18:00–20:31 UTC· 2h 31m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$58.9K
Trades
1,652
Significant
8 ≥ $500
Low · high
27¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Alliance · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · AllianceG1G2 · AllianceG227¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:24$895 NO · tghj20$682 YES · W0wzersSMART0%54% Alliance18:0020:31 resolved
smart consensus leaned Alliance from G2 at 80¢ · 0% → 54%
G1Alliance42¢ → 70¢$6.9K
G2Alliance70¢ → 99.9¢$12.8K
Who entered before the reversalAlliance last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 42:15 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L7 wallets
1LocalTrander80x13c9…5e53retail+$273
$172 at 39¢· G1 · 10:45· win rate 42.3%
2andereman0xf6bf…05b6retail+$161
$100 at 38¢· G1 · 13:57· win rate 31.5%
3BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$48
$230 at 54¢· G1 · 11:09· win rate 55.3%
4EH-10x1df6…cba0retail+$31
$111 at 53¢· G1 · 32:45· win rate 51.2%
$187 at 46¢· G1 · 11:09· win rate 23.6%
6Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart−$31
$548 at 55¢· G1 · 11:09· win rate 64.0%
7antec0x8935…7daaretail−$134
$2.5K at 77¢· G1 · 11:09· win rate 51.5%
Reversal = last time Alliance traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 42:15). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 206 wallets
Top winners
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail+$780
W0wzers0x6831…c638retail+$539
LocalTrander80x13c9…5e53retail+$273
mistercsludo0x1176…2f1aretail+$232
feewlfe0x8820…70c0retail+$167
Top losers
tghj200xc402…c7f1retail−$895
Kaczka0x067a…1aearetail−$841
6367630xfd14…2267retail−$503
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$345
3191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart−$304
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4
Smart consensus · at resolution18 wallets
54%YES Alliance · the winner· from 0% at match start
YES capital
$11.2K
NO capital
$9.0K
Hedged
$1.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 8 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
tghj200xc402…c7f1$895
NO44¢series19:38:26retail
win rate 46.0%lifetime +$12.3K
Hakbsnn0xf32d…bbbb$777
YES58¢map 220:07:50retail
win rate 56.2%lifetime −$50.9K
W0wzers0x6831…c638$682
YES56¢series20:00:02retail
win rate 42.5%lifetime −$5.2K
Scary-Pearl0xd487…053e$648
YES91¢map 119:10:53whalefarmer
win rate 97.0%lifetime +$56.1K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8e$532
YES94¢map 220:24:53hedgersmart
win rate 58.2%lifetime +$92.2K
teteuvalorant0x3a9d…9805$500
NO47¢map 118:19:21retail
win rate 56.2%lifetime +$5.6K
Match markets25 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$23.6Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$13.9Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$21.8Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$50closedseries handicapMap Handicap: PRIV (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedseries handicapMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$35closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 1¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.516¢ / 84¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100¢ / 0¢$35closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 1¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)23¢ / 78¢$0closed
Alliance 2-0 PRIVATE · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer