100 Thieves1-0Eternal Fire
ROG Journey · Group A · Oct 2, 2026 · 15:15–16:35 UTC · 1h 20m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$55.4K
Trades
1,649
Significant
16 ≥ $500
Low · high
23¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = 100 Thieves · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned 100 Thieves from 15:04 at 59¢ · 69% → 82%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1100 Thieves66¢ → 99.9¢no map market
G1100 Thieves1h 11m · 15:23–16:3566¢ → 99.9¢ +34¢no Map 1 market on Polymarket
Who entered before the reversal100 Thieves last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 50:31 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L22 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$8.0K at 71¢· G1 · 11:51· win rate 51.2%
$142 at 28¢· G1 · 25:16· win rate 44.6%
$2.8K at 53¢· G1 · 11:30· win rate 58.4%
$162 at 51¢· G1 · 47:25· win rate 49.6%
$121 at 43¢· G1 · 20:40· win rate 41.7%
$108 at 45¢· G1 · 23:17· win rate 53.3%
$462 at 68¢· G1 · 47:53· win rate 47.4%
$104 at 60¢· G1 · 26:29· win rate 44.8%
$228 at 52¢· G1 · 27:42· win rate 56.5%
$114 at 64¢· G1 · 48:42· win rate 40.8%
Reversal = last time 100 Thieves traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 50:31). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 298 wallets
Top winners
RN10x2005…75earetail+$1.8K
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4aretail+$982
Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$600
hasobidale0x8be4…a700smart+$512
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail+$344
Top losers
W0wzers0x6831…c638retail−$2.4K
Under13450x98a5…28d3retail−$1.6K
13640128730xe57d…f23fretail−$744
aloqqqqqa0xd05f…8a79retail−$567
xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$539
Smart consensus · at resolution37 wallets
82%YES 100 Thieves · the winner· from 69% at match start
YES capital
$38.3K
NO capital
$19.5K
Hedged
$8.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 16 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A100¢ / 0¢$55.0Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$358closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closed