CS2ROG Journey · Group A · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · 100 Thieves

100 Thieves1-0Eternal Fire

ROG Journey · Group A· Oct 2, 2026 · 15:15–16:35 UTC· 1h 20m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$55.4K
Trades
1,649
Significant
17 ≥ $500
Low · high
23¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = 100 Thieves · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · 100 ThievesG123¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 16:27$1.4K NO · W0wzers$846 YES · qfwdsd1$706 YES · RN1$621 YES · BACKTESTEOCARAIO1SMART70%82% 100 Thieves15:1516:35 resolved
smart consensus leaned 100T from 15:04 at 59¢ · 69% → 82%
G1100 Thieves66¢ → 99.9¢—
Who entered before the reversal100 Thieves last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 50:31 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L11 wallets
1BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$320
$1.5K at 59¢· G1 · 11:30· win rate 65.4%
2combty0x30ce…d485retail+$87
$162 at 51¢· G1 · 47:25· win rate 49.6%
3poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$67
$462 at 68¢· G1 · 47:53· win rate 47.6%
$289 at 52¢· G1 · 11:51· win rate 13.5%
5zxcursed1210x945a…a48cbot−$3
$265 at 54¢· G1 · 11:51· win rate 43.7%
6topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$7
$247 at 56¢· G1 · 25:05· win rate 40.3%
7a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$8
$511 at 55¢· G1 · 25:05· win rate 33.1%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail−$16
$692 at 54¢· G1 · 11:51· win rate 50.5%
9Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$20
$256 at 65¢· G1 · 11:51· win rate 52.9%
10BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$54
$767 at 61¢· G1 · 23:35· win rate 56.2%
Reversal = last time 100 Thieves traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 50:31). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 132 wallets
Top winners
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4asmart+$982
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$320
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$288
HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$133
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$120
Top losers
xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$539
Glamorous-Vitality0x9438…e019retail−$215
xiaoduoxiaoduo0x5511…5734retail−$188
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail−$158
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$129
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): W0wzers, RN1, Divinev, Absing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution37 wallets
82%YES 100 Thieves · the winner· from 69% at match start
YES capital
$38.3K
NO capital
$19.5K
Hedged
$8.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 17 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
W0wzers0x6831…c638$1.4K
NO48¢series16:22:53retail
win rate 48.1%lifetime +$8.3K
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4a$947
YES56¢series14:38:07smart
win rate 55.9%lifetime +$71.8K
Rayaya0x9b96…4389$900
YES60¢series13:59:15retail
win rate 60.8%lifetime −$83.6K
qfwdsd10x00cb…e987$846
YES94¢series16:27:29retail
win rate 44.2%lifetime −$32.2K
13640128730xe57d…f23f$744
NO44¢series14:38:07retail
win rate 50.8%lifetime +$4.9K
RN10x2005…75ea$706
YES81¢series16:23:33hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
RN10x2005…75ea$663
YES67¢series15:23:43whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
W0wzers0x6831…c638$648
NO21¢series16:22:53retail
win rate 48.1%lifetime +$8.3K
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100 Thieves 1-0 Eternal Fire · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer